Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 0Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
45
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
While Sporting's midweek victory was not the prettiest, Os Leoes are a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Indeed, Vitoria cannot be underestimated, but we feel they will be no match for the hosts in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 10.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
74.55% ( -0.33) | 14.75% ( 0.2) | 10.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
