Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto1 - 2Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Porto 2-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
The hosts have enjoyed this fixture in recent history, winning all but two of the 20 meetings between the two sides since November 2008, losing one and drawing one. The visitors have failed to score in three of their last four visits to this stadium, and we see that happening once again in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
62.06% ( 0.32) | 20.3% ( -0.27) | 17.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
