

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Portimonense has a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Portimonense win it is 1-0 (7.31%).
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 20.87% ( | 24.93% ( | 54.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( | 54.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( | 75.68% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( | 40.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.54% ( | 77.46% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( | 20% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.81% ( | 52.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 2-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 3-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.87% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 13.16% ( 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-3 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
| 3 | Porto | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 26 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 22 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | Vizela | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 16 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
