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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 23.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
53.84% ( 0.23) | 22.62% ( -0.01) | 23.54% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.22) | 41.8% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.22) | 64.2% ( 0.22) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% | 15.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( 0) | 44.4% ( -0) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0.31) | 31.37% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.26% ( -0.36) | 67.74% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 10 | 60 | 62 |
2 | Feyenoord | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 49 |
3 | FC Twente | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
5 | Ajax | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 34 |
7 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 29 |
9 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 27 |
11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
12 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 22 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 21 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 18 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 52 | -30 | 12 |
18 | Vitesse | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 12 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |