

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 23.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 53.84% ( | 22.62% ( | 23.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( | 41.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( | 64.2% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% | 15.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.59% ( | 44.4% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.26% ( | 67.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 10 | 60 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Ajax | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 24 |
| 14 | Heracles | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 22 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 52 | -30 | 12 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 12 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
