

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 34.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 34.29% ( | 25.53% ( | 40.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( | 48.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( | 70.48% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.55% ( | 62.45% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( | 23.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.03% ( | 57.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 10 | 60 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Ajax | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 24 |
| 14 | Heracles | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 22 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 52 | -30 | 12 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 12 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
