

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord | 
| 35.02% (  -0.38) | 23.51% (  0.15) | 41.47% (  0.23) | 
| Both teams to score 63% (  -0.66) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.26% (  -0.83) | 38.74% (  0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.95% (  -0.88) | 61.05% (  0.89) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.84% (  -0.58) | 22.16% (  0.58) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.45% (  -0.88) | 55.55% (  0.88) | 
| Feyenoord Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.93% (  -0.25) | 19.07% (  0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.34% (  -0.41) | 50.66% (  0.42) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord | 
| 2-1 @ 7.95% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% (  0.14) 2-0 @ 4.8% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.31% (  -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.41% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.25% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 6.59% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.74% (  0.06) 0-1 @ 7% (  0.22) 0-2 @ 5.8% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 4.83% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.21% (  0.05) 1-4 @ 2% (  -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% (  -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.33% (  0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 63 | 9 | 54 | 56 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 46 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 35 | 
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 30 | 
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 29 | 
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 | 
| 9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 | 
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 | 
| 11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 23 | 
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 23 | 
| 13 | Heerenveen | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 22 | 
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 21 | 
| 15 | Heracles | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 19 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 15 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 12 | 
| 18 | Vitesse | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 42 | -29 | 12 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
