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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle
AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle
Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (57'), Velanas (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
70.17% (0.184 0.18) 16.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 13.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)29.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (-0.125 -0.13)50.7% (0.127 0.13)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)34.75% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.272 -0.27)71.48% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.17%
    PEC Zwolle 13.36%
    Draw 16.46%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.36%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
PEC Zwolle
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
0-3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')
Lahdo (13'), Van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
2-1
AZ
Kastaneer (51'), Redan (86')
Pavlidis (81')
Wijndal (89')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
3-2
PEC Zwolle
De Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-1
AZ
Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
Midtsjo (67')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Boadu (68')
Stengs (17')
Leemans (38')
van Duinen (9'), Huiberts (40'), van Polen (71'), Lam (74'), Nakayama (90+5')
Lam (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV2018206395456
2Feyenoord20144253173646
3FC Twente20125339211841
4AZ AlkmaarAZ20105540211935
5Ajax20105547361135
6Go Ahead Eagles208663428630
7NECNijmegen207853933629
8PEC Zwolle207583032-226
9Sparta RotterdamSparta207582527-226
10Fortuna SittardSittard206682133-1224
11FC UtrechtUtrecht205872330-723
12Almere CityAlmere City206592137-1623
13Heerenveen2064103140-922
14SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior204973338-521
15Heracles2054112648-2219
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2043131838-2015
17FC VolendamVolendam2033142147-2612
18Vitesse2033141342-2912

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