

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 70.17% ( | 16.46% ( | 13.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.4% ( | 29.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.7% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( | 7.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.9% ( | 27.09% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.52% ( | 71.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 4-1 @ 5.14% ( 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 5-1 @ 2.66% ( 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 5-2 @ 1.4% ( 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.17% | 1-1 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.46% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0-1 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 1-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 63 | 9 | 54 | 56 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 46 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Ajax | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 35 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 30 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 29 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Heracles | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 15 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 12 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 42 | -29 | 12 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
