Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar | 
| 37.12% (  0.43) | 25.09% (  0.1) | 37.79% (  -0.52) | 
| Both teams to score 57.44% (  -0.33) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.92% (  -0.44) | 46.08% (  0.44) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.62% (  -0.42) | 68.38% (  0.42) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.61% (  0.03) | 24.39% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.19% (  0.04) | 58.81% (  -0.04) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.97% (  -0.47) | 24.03% (  0.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.7% (  -0.68) | 58.3% (  0.68) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar | 
| 2-1 @ 8.32% (  0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% (  0.16) 2-0 @ 5.83% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 3.91% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.38% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% (  0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (  0.07) 2-2 @ 5.93% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% (  0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.41% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.36% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 4% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.83% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% (  -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.42% (  -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 | 
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
