

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 22.39% ( | 21.27% ( | 56.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( | 36.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( | 58.99% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( | 29.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.39% ( | 65.61% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( | 13.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.44% ( | 39.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.39% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-2 @ 8% ( 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0-3 @ 5.44% ( 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0-5 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 56.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
