

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 33.2% ( | 24.62% ( | 42.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( | 25.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.11% ( | 60.89% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( | 21.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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