

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 80.47% ( | 12.4% | 7.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.98% ( | 29.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50% ( | 49.99% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.47% ( | 5.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.47% | 21.53% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( | 46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.28% ( | 81.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% 3-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 4-1 @ 5.78% 5-0 @ 4.31% 5-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 4.66% Total : 80.45% | 1-1 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 3.21% 0-0 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.94% Total : 7.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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