

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 49.89% ( | 23.49% ( | 26.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( | 42.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( | 65.29% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( | 17.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( | 29.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.49% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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