Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
| 11.33% ( | 16.38% ( | 72.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.12% ( | 34.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.15% ( | 56.85% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.48% ( | 41.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.99% ( | 78.01% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( | 8.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.74% ( | 29.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 3.34% ( 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 2-0 @ 1.35% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 3-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.33% | 1-1 @ 7.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.38% | 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-3 @ 8.83% ( 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-3 @ 7.76% ( 0-4 @ 5.46% ( 1-4 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0-5 @ 2.7% ( 1-5 @ 2.38% ( 2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0-6 @ 1.12% ( 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 1-6 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 72.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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