Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 7.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 79.51% ( | 12.9% ( | 7.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.21% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.06% ( | 50.94% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( | 5.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.54% ( | 22.45% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( | 45.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.71% ( | 81.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 3-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 4-0 @ 7.19% ( 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 5-0 @ 4.08% ( 5-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 6-0 @ 1.93% ( 6-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 4.38% Total : 79.5% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0-0 @ 2.66% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 12.9% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0-1 @ 2.1% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 7.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
