Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 22.08% (  0.56) | 22.4% (  0.44) | 55.52% (  -1) | 
| Both teams to score 56.78% (  -0.72) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.49% (  -1.32) | 42.51% (  1.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.09% (  -1.33) | 64.91% (  1.33) | 
| FC Volendam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.95% (  -0.23) | 33.05% (  0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% (  -0.26) | 69.64% (  0.26) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.81% (  -0.78) | 15.19% (  0.78) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.18% (  -1.48) | 43.82% (  1.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Volendam | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 2-1 @ 5.8% (  0.11) 1-0 @ 5.56% (  0.29) 2-0 @ 3.08% (  0.14) 3-1 @ 2.14% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.14% (  0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 10.47% (  0.27) 2-2 @ 5.46% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% (  0.29) 3-3 @ 1.27% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 9.87% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.46% (  0.3) 0-2 @ 8.92% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 6.2% (  -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.6% (  -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.43% (  -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.92% (  -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.64% (  -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.62% (  -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.1% (  -0.1) 0-5 @ 0.99% (  -0.08) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.52% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 | 
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
