Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 32.65% ( | 24.58% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( | 44.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( | 66.88% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( | 26.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.66% ( | 61.33% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( | 20.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.38% ( | 53.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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