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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
28.63% (![]() | 24.39% (![]() | 46.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% (![]() | 67.87% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% (![]() | 29.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% (![]() | 65.39% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.51% (![]() | 19.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% (![]() | 51.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 7.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.63% | 1-1 @ 11.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |