Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 28.63% ( | 24.39% ( | 46.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( | 45.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( | 67.87% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( | 29.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.61% ( | 65.39% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( | 19.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.63% ( | 51.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.63% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
