Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
