

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 78.06% | 13.31% ( | 8.63% |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.22% ( | 27.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.53% ( | 48.46% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.3% ( | 5.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.99% ( | 22.01% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( | 41.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.01% ( | 77.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 4-0 @ 6.64% ( 4-1 @ 5.84% ( 5-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 4-2 @ 2.57% ( 6-0 @ 1.82% 6-1 @ 1.6% 5-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 4.96% Total : 78.06% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( 2-2 @ 3.75% 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.31% | 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-1 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 8.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | 30 | 30 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 8 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
