

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 36.21% ( | 21.33% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 71.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52% ( | 47.99% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( | 16.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.87% ( | 46.12% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( | 14.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.39% ( | 41.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 1-0 @ 4.17% ( 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 3-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-0 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 2-3 @ 4.74% ( 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 3-4 @ 1.4% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 2-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
