Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.89%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.