Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.