Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
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