Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 39.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.36%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.