Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.