Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.