Leipzig have performed with far more control in each of their recent victories, with an additional defender at the expense of Silva helping them retain possession to a much higher level.
As such, while Augsburg may be able to hang in the game at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday, we expect the hosts to take a giant step towards securing Champions League football for the fifth successive season with a vital victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
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