Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.