Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 42.35% ( | 28.17% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.99% ( | 60.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.75% ( | 80.25% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( | 28.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.34% ( | 63.66% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( | 36.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.87% ( | 73.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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