Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 48.72% (  0.02) | 27.18% (  -0) | 24.09% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 44.79% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.53% (  -0.01) | 59.46% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.17% (  -0) | 79.83% (  0) | 
| Mansfield Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.46% (  0.01) | 24.53% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.99% (  0.01) | 59.01% (  -0.01) | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.35% (  -0.02) | 40.65% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.75% (  -0.02) | 77.24% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 1-0 @ 14.01% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.61% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.15% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.87% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.46% (  0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.97% (  0) 2-2 @ 3.99% (  -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.98% (  -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.04% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.7% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% (  -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.09% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 | 
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 | 
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
