| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 48.22% | 26.43% | 25.36% |
| Both teams to score 47.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.04% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% | 23.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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