| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 | 
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 | 
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 | 
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 | 
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 50.82% | 25.45% | 23.72% | 
| Both teams to score 49.18% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.45% | 53.54% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.94% | 75.05% | 
| Mansfield Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.91% | 21.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.09% | 53.91% | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.33% | 37.67% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.55% | 74.45% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.82%  | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.45%  | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.72%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 | 
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 | 
| 6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 | 
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 | 
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 | 
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 | 
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 | 
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 | 
| 15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 | 
| 16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 | 
| 17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 | 
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 | 
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 | 
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 | 
| R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 | 
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