| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 46 | 13 | 75 |
| 10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
| 30.4% | 28.54% | 41.05% |
| Both teams to score 45.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.03% | 60.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% | 80.97% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.06% | 72.94% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.86% | 65.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.55% Total : 41.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 47 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 43 |
| 19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 36 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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