Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
| 27.55% | 25.56% | 46.89% |
| Both teams to score 52.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% | 51.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% | 73% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% | 33.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% | 21.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.97% | 55.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 47 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 43 |
| 19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 36 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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