Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a win it was 0-1 (5.16%).
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 61.36% | 21.35% | 17.3% | 
| Both teams to score 52.16% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.3% | 44.7% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.94% | 67.06% | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.94% | 14.06% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.36% | 41.64% | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.69% | 39.31% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.99% | 76.01% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.79% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.34% | 0-1 @ 5.16% 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.3% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 | 
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 | 
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 | 
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