Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
