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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Exeter City

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Exeter

Winnall (84')
Kirk (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion X-Y Exeter City

Prediction justification text here Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
42.8% (-0.619 -0.62) 24.79% (0.172 0.17) 32.42% (0.45 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (-0.617 -0.62)45.51% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (-0.591 -0.59)67.84% (0.593 0.59)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)21.31% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (-0.843 -0.84)54.25% (0.847 0.85)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.86% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.17% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.8%
    Exeter City 32.42%
    Draw 24.78%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Exeter

Burton Albion
58.3%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Aug 19, 2014 7.45pm
Feb 1, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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