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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
42.8% (![]() | 24.79% (![]() | 32.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% (![]() | 45.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% (![]() | 67.84% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% (![]() | 54.25% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% (![]() | 26.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% (![]() | 62.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 8.99% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 96 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 84 |
3 | Wrexham | 43 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 83 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 79 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 78 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 43 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Reading | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 69 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 66 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 64 |
10 | Blackpool | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 63 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 58 |
12 | Barnsley | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 57 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 53 |
15 | Stevenage | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 49 |
18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 48 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 43 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 43 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 38 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 37 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |