MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 23:17:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 19, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Lewis (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hughes (22')
Roberts (45+6'), Disney (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 Barry
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 5.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
5.55% (-0.055899999999999 -0.06) 12.25% (-0.387 -0.39) 82.2% (0.44199999999999 0.44)
Both teams to score 41.09% (1.231 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.04% (1.784 1.78)35.96% (-1.788 -1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.95% (1.936 1.94)58.05% (-1.94 -1.94)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.99% (1.103 1.1)56.01% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.52% (0.627 0.63)88.48% (-0.631 -0.63)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.41% (0.461 0.46)6.59% (-0.4639 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.49% (1.242 1.24)24.51% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 5.55%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 82.19%
    Draw 12.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 2.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 5.55%
1-1 @ 5.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-2 @ 2.29% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 12.25%
0-2 @ 13.65% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-3 @ 12.37% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-4 @ 8.41% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.88% (0.229 0.23)
0-5 @ 4.58% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 2.65% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.116 0.12)
0-6 @ 2.07% (0.128 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.111 0.11)
1-6 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 82.19%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Hughes (14'), Wright (63'), Kenny (90+3')
Kenny (65'), Williams (89')

Bradford (60'), Huxley (71')
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Mwandwe (33'), Kenny (44'), Dugan (84')
Roberts (17'), Kenny (69'), Marriott (90+2')

Walsh (42'), Lewis (54')
Aug 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (76')
Ealing (7'), Walsh (60'), Davies (81')
Mwandwe (66')
Mwandwe (54'), Hughes (56'), Nash (78')
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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