Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.