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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Lazio logo

Genoa
0 - 2
Lazio


Pinamonti (51'), De Winter (80'), Sabelli (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castellanos (32'), Dia (65')
Rovella (45+3')
Belahyane (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Bodo/Glimt (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, April 17 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
31.92% (0.085000000000001 0.09)28.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.05% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.12% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.18% (0.07 0.07)58.82% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.67% (0.055 0.05)79.33% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.099000000000004 0.1)33.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.107 0.11)70.56% (-0.107 -0.11)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)64.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 31.92%
    Lazio 40.04%
    Draw 28.02%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 12.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.04%

How you voted: Genoa vs Lazio

Genoa
25.4%
Draw
32.4%
Lazio
42.3%
71
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Noslin (21'), Pedro (86'), Vecino (90+4')
Noslin (29'), Gila (55'), Marusic (67')

Sabelli (23')
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Genoa
0-1
Lazio

Vogliacco (17')
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')
Dec 5, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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