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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Genoa logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Genoa

Viola (18')
Deiola (60'), Pavoletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornet (47')
Badelj (48'), Masini (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-1 Genoa

Cagliari can be tough to beat on home turf, but Genoa should be able to shut up shop and frustrate the home side. Under Patrick Vieira's management, the Grifone are flying higher in the form table, so they could edge a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
41.76% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 27.72% (0.195 0.2) 30.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.672 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (-0.796 -0.8)58.09% (0.797 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (-0.63 -0.63)78.76% (0.631 0.63)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.327 -0.33)27.42% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.425 -0.43)62.89% (0.427 0.43)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (-0.628 -0.63)34.53% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (-0.674 -0.67)71.25% (0.67500000000001 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 41.76%
    Genoa 30.51%
    Draw 27.72%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.76%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari
34.0%
Draw
29.1%
Genoa
36.9%
103
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 13
Genoa
2-2
Cagliari
Frendrup (12'), Miretti (59')
Caricol (79'), Bani (86')
Marin (8' pen.), Piccoli (88' pen.)
Marin (66'), Viola (90+4')
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Thorsby (17'), Frendrup (27'), Gudmundsson (63')

Shomurodov (58'), Augello (72')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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