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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Venezia

Genoa
2 - 0
Venezia

Pinamonti (82'), Cornet (86')
Bani (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Genoa
Saturday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Roma
Sunday, February 9 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-1 Venezia

Although Venezia last kept a Serie A clean sheet in the reverse meeting in September, Genoa have netted a goal in five of their previous six home fixtures in Liguria. Vieira's team are backed to record a third consecutive success at the Marassi to inflict the Lagunari's ninth away defeat this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawVenezia
48.33% (-0.283 -0.28) 26.47% (0.3 0.3) 25.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-0.854 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-1.108 -1.11)56.19% (1.112 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (-0.905 -0.91)77.24% (0.91000000000001 0.91)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.598 -0.6)23.29% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (-0.883 -0.88)57.23% (0.888 0.89)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.622 -0.62)37.8% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.61 -0.61)74.57% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 48.32%
    Venezia 25.2%
    Draw 26.47%
GenoaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.219 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.2%

How you voted: Genoa vs Venezia

Genoa
77.2%
Draw
19.5%
Venezia
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Venezia
2-0
Genoa
Busio (63'), Pohjanpalo (85')
Svoboda (72'), Yeboah (88')

De Winter (30'), Bani (57'), Pinamonti (62')
Jul 20, 2024 4pm
Club Friendlies 3
Venezia
1-3
Genoa

Zampano (13')
Ekuban (12'), Gudmundsson (42')
Jan 16, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Genoa
1-0
Venezia
Coda (85')
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Venezia
1-2
Genoa
Johnsen (68')
Zampano (58'), Busio (61'), Ceccaroni (79'), Crnigoj (90+6')
Portanova (37'), Yeboah (87')
Gudmundsson (54'), Bani (90+4')
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Venezia
1-1
Genoa
Henry (13')
Caldara (45+1'), Ampadu (89')
Ekuban (29')
Vasquez (23'), Sturaro (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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