We said: Venezia 0-1 Genoa
As Venezia have struggled for goals at home this season, the greater pressure to perform might see them snatch at their opportunities, allowing Genoa to slip in and claim just their second league win of the season.
Both a raft of fresh faces and a new manager has helped the visitors remain unbeaten since mid-January, and they can now turn their quest for survival up a notch by bringing all three points home from Venice.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
