Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.