MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 19:58:52| >> :600:203786:203786:
Forest Green Rovers
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Birmingham logo
Forest Green
1 - 2
Birmingham
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jutkiewicz (50'), Long (65')
Longelo (38'), Bielik (57'), Mejbri (59'), Trusty (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Forest Green Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Birmingham City

Neither side will enter this match in the best of form, but we are struggling to look past Birmingham when it comes to this third-round contest. The Blues will have superior quality across the pitch, and we are expecting the Championship outfit to progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBirmingham City
45.62% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 28.39% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.225 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-0.256 -0.26)52.41% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-0.221 -0.22)74.09% (0.223 0.22)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)22.93% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.11 -0.11)56.7% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.227 -0.23)33.14% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.252 -0.25)69.74% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.62%
    Birmingham City 28.39%
    Draw 25.99%
Forest Green RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Birmingham

Forest Green Rovers
16.3%
Draw
12.6%
Birmingham City
71.1%
135
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Forest Green
0-3
Birmingham
Morrison (11'), Storer (81'), Fabbrini (88')
Jul 15, 2014 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Forest Green
0-1
Birmingham
Donaldson (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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