Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.