Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 63.8% ( | 21.91% ( | 14.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% ( | 52.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( | 74% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( | 15.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.06% ( | 44.94% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.1% ( | 47.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.84% ( | 83.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 12.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 3-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 63.79% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 1-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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