Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 51.39% ( | 24.62% ( | 23.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( | 50.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( | 72.02% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( | 19.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.68% ( | 51.32% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( | 35.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
| 10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
| 13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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