

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 59% ( | 21.36% ( | 19.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( | 41.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( | 13.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.29% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.72% ( | 71.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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