Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 44.6% ( | 25.51% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( | 22.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.32% ( | 55.68% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( | 30.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.13% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 |
| 3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
| 5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 |
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 |
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