Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
44.6% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() | 29.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% (![]() | 49.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% (![]() | 71.71% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% (![]() | 55.68% (![]() |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% (![]() | 30.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.13% (![]() | 66.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
1-0 @ 10.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 |
2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 |
3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 |
7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 |
8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 |
18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 |
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